Vermont · General Election · November 3, 2026

Vermont Lieutenant Governor 2026: Candidate Pros & Cons

The current lieutenant governor faces a former one: first-term Republican John Rodgers against Democrat Molly Gray, who held the job from 2021 to 2023. Gray leads in the polls, and the race has turned unusually personal.

As of October 12, 2026 · A balanced summary based on published reporting. Not an endorsement.

Where the race stands

Polls favor Gray, but Rodgers trailed in polls two years ago and won anyway.

UNH Green Mountain State Poll, likely voters

University of New Hampshire Survey Center · released September 24, 2026

Gray (D)
54%
Rodgers (R)
35%
Vermont Public poll
Gray +8
A smaller lead than the UNH poll's 19 points.
Total raised
$521K vs. $293K
Gray ahead overall; Rodgers outraised her in the latest period, $150K to $95K.
Cash on hand (Oct. 1)
$141K vs. $84K
Gray vs. Rodgers.
Last time
Upset in 2024
Rodgers unseated Progressive/Democrat David Zuckerman after trailing in polls.
What the job does: The lieutenant governor presides over the state Senate, casts tie-breaking votes there and is first in line if the governor can't serve. Rodgers cast a rare tie-breaker this term to confirm a Vermont Supreme Court justice.

The candidates

Each candidate's strongest arguments and biggest vulnerabilities, as reflected in campaign coverage.

Republican · Incumbent

John Rodgers

Dairy-farm upbringing in West Glover; stonemason and cannabis farmer. Eight years in the Vermont House and eight in the Senate as a Democrat before switching parties. Lieutenant governor since 2025.

His case is rural credibility and an independent streak as a check on the Democratic Legislature. His weakness is a run of personal legal disputes.

Pros

  • Rural voiceA working farmer who backs Act 250 reform, property rights and the partial rollback of Act 181, the land-use law many rural towns opposed.
  • Check on the LegislaturePitches himself as a counterweight to the Democrat-led Legislature, much as Gov. Scott does.
  • Independent of national GOPSays he doesn't back President Trump's policies and spoke at a "Hands Off" rally, which he says no other Republican in the country did.
  • Long experienceSixteen years in the Legislature plus a term in this office. He says he has used it to connect constituents with state officials.
  • Affordability focusWants to help small businesses grow and limit renewable energy subsidies he says raise power costs.

Cons

  • Cannabis violationGrew hundreds of seedlings near his licensed operation without the right license; he settled with state regulators and agreed to a $2,500 fine.
  • Road lawsuitSued the Town of Glover last year to have a stretch of road through his farm declared private, part of a long-running dispute.
  • Combative styleGray calls him a bully who ignores laws he helped write. His debate attacks on her family's farm drew criticism as personal.
  • Party switchSpent 16 years as a Democrat. Supporters see independence; skeptics see shifting loyalties.
  • Trailing in pollsBehind by 8 to 19 points, though he disputes the polls and has come back before.
Democrat · Challenger

Molly Gray

Raised on a farm in South Newbury. Former assistant attorney general and human rights lawyer. Lieutenant governor 2021–2023; later led the Vermont Afghan Alliance, a refugee nonprofit.

Her case is experience in the office and a focus on costs. Her weakness is questions about her last term and how far left she leans.

Pros

  • Done the job beforeServed a full term as lieutenant governor, so she knows how to preside over the Senate.
  • Cost-of-living agendaFocuses on lowering health care and housing costs, including universal primary care and keeping tech-center graduates in Vermont to build housing.
  • Strong primary win and pollingWon the August primary by a wide margin over two rivals and leads in both public polls. Endorsed by former Gov. Howard Dean.
  • Pitch to DemocratsPromises to use the office to stand up to Trump administration actions, especially on immigration.
  • Labor supportBacks Proposition 3 and helping residents shift away from fossil fuels.

Cons

  • Left office to run for CongressAnnounced a U.S. House run less than a year into her term and lost the 2022 primary. Rodgers says she "used the office" for that bid.
  • Dairy commentsSaid at the Tunbridge fair that big dairy may no longer be viable in Vermont. Dairy groups objected; she says it was taken out of context and has proposed help with hauling and processing.
  • Seen as further leftAgreed with a democratic socialist platform in a primary survey ($20 minimum wage, abolishing ICE), though she has since said she favors reforming ICE.
  • Family farm recordsHer family's farm paid a $1,728 fine over farmworker housing violations found after she left office. She says she isn't involved in its operations.

Side by side on the big issues

Where the two candidates differ most.

IssueJohn Rodgers (R)Molly Gray (D)
Role in officeCheck on the Democratic Legislature; connect constituents with state governmentPush back on the Trump administration; advance health care and housing
Health careLower costs through small-business growth and less regulationUniversal primary care
Land use and housingAct 250 reform; supported Act 181 rollback; property rightsTrain and keep tech-center graduates to build housing
FarmingEquipment tax breaks and lighter farm regulationHelp with hauling costs and keeping processing plants open
EnergyLimit renewable energy subsidiesHelp residents move away from fossil fuels

Bottom line

The office has little direct power, so this race is mostly about direction and character. Rodgers offers a rural, independent-minded check on the Legislature; Gray offers a more progressive agenda and a direct counterweight to Washington.

Both carry baggage. Rodgers has the cannabis settlement and the road lawsuit. Gray has her early exit to run for Congress and the dairy comments. Gray leads, but Rodgers has beaten the polls before.

Sources

  1. Seven Days: The race for lieutenant governor is heating up
  2. Vermont Public: Gray, Rodgers clash in tense debate
  3. WCAX: The candidates for lieutenant governor
  4. WCAX: Poll shows Molly Gray leading
  5. Vermont Public: Molly Gray wins Democratic primary
  6. Wikipedia: 2026 Vermont lieutenant gubernatorial election

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